Thursday, 19 January 2023

Heads together.

Only the players themselves will truly know what the issue is, or issues are, with us at the moment; there certainly appears to be something and I think the only two things that are up for debate is when it quite-possibly started and why.

One thing is for sure, if they’ve not already done so then I think it’s time for the players to get together; do some soul searching and perhaps tell a few truths to one another. Perhaps it’s time for Captain Ilkay and Vice-Captain Kevin to orchestrate any such conflab(s). However, since I typed that, Pep dismissed outright in his pre-match press conference that no one needed to ‘step forward’ as a leader in the dressing room.

A glance backwards…

Whatever might be the issue this season, and certainly more so at the moment, didn’t, or hasn’t yet, interfered with our Champions League campaign – that could hardly have gone any better in the group stages. However, I don’t think it’s unreasonable of me to suggest that whatever is hindering our ability to find good form, domestically and certainly in the league, has been going on since the start of the season.

Don’t agree? Fair enough. But did you know that of the 18 league games we’ve played so far, the most back-to-back wins we’ve mustered is 3? I’m sure you’ll agree that when compared to the majority of our recent history, certainly under Pep, that’s quite underwhelming.

We have-actually managed a really good unbeaten run in the league, consisting of 2 draws, and that was ‘right from the off’ at the start of the season…

W W D W W D W W W

…before Liverpool put a stop to all that by defeating us 1-0 on ‘their patch’. We were firing goals in for fun in the run-up to and including ‘game-week 9’ too; scoring an incredible 33 league goals, which was an average of nearly 3.7 goals per game; with most being netted by a certain Mr Haaland. Of the two ‘non-wins’, I actually believe that one of those draws was avoidable because of the way we set up and the other we simply played quite poor for large parts but, overall, that was great stuff back then! 👍

However, the following 9-league matches, the results of which look like this…

L W W W L (World Cup break) W D W L

…we managed just 13 goals, which is an average of almost 1.5 goals per game. Now I’m not saying for one moment that a vastly-reduced number of goals scored is the [only] issue but I think it’s a big contributing factor. I’m sure I’m not alone when-noticing in recent matches in particular that we appear to be struggling to get creative Phil Foden into games and are increasingly NOT finding the right pass for Erling Haaland to run onto.

And speaking of passing, how woeful has it been of late for good periods and in numerous games? Why would that possibly have ‘reared its head’? Are there any coaches / ex-coaches out there reading this who could explain to me why that would suddenly start happening to us?

If you saw the Southampton defeat and thought our passing was poor but, for whatever reason, didn’t watch the derby last Saturday; then I suggest you watch (or perhaps not) the first half. 😲

In that last set of 9 results, I’ve underlined one. This was a home game against Fulham and although, yes, we were down to 10 men from the 26th minute; it took a 95th minute penalty for us to grab all-3 points. Was this the beginning of our issues…again assuming we have anything specific and whatever that or they may be? I say that because having just about squeezing past Fulham to get a home win, we then lost at home to Brentford, who out-foxed in our last game before the World Cup, before-then being held at home to Everton; all of which preceded our derby-day defeat just the other day. We can’t even blame the World Cup break looking at those set of results, which is something Pep Guardiola flatly refused to do anyway when it was suggested to him by a journalist post-last-match.

We can’t even point the finger at injuries, seeing as we’ve hardly had any for a good while now. So…not being able to rest / rotate isn’t the problem – could it be, instead, that there’s been a little bit too much rotation?

Pep said on Wednesday afternoon:

"Sometimes I didn’t choose properly the players or maybe the way, it depends on the way we defend, the way we have to do, and this is the only concern".

"I like the challenge because it makes me feel I have to come back again and have to find something to help the team get better because I am the man responsible. When the players don’t play good and they have the desire to do it, it’s because there is something wrong in my decisions and I have to find it - because here people don’t wait, people don’t live off memories about how good we were”.

It still leaves the question(s) – has something changed / is there something wrong; what is it, when did it start and why? As I say, I hope in recent days there has been time allocated in-between training sessions for the players to get their heads together to try ‘n’ work it all out before our season starts to dissolve any further to a point beyond repair, trophy-wise at least.

Pep Guardiola’s advice in his post-match press conference on Saturday was to not waste energy focusing on the past. Ooops! So, looking forward…

v Tottenham Hotspur

Etihad Stadium

Predicted line-up, subs and outcome:

(Number correct from the starting line-up in the last game: 8/11).

Fluid 4-1-4-1 / 4-5-1 / 4-3-3 (possibly 3-6-1 at times):

____________________Haaland____________________

 

 

Grealish__________________________________Mahrez

 

____________Silva______________De Bruyne________

 

_____________________Rodri______________________

Ake_______________________________________Lewis

___________Laporte_____________Akanji___________

 

 

____________________Ederson____________________

Subs: Ortega, Cancelo, Walker, Dias, Stones, Phillips, Gundogan, Foden & Alvarez.

Ederson continues in net.

Of course, there’s lots of defensive computations as our manager continues to both experiment and monitor the recovery levels of certain central defenders who can be fragile at times. However, with both John & Ruben only just returning from fitness and injury issues respectively, I must assume that they will find themselves starting on the bench for this one. Therefore, I’m going with Nathan on the left, with Aymeric & Manuel in the middle and with me predicting attack-minded Rico to be on the right, that will allow all of those 3 to shuffle over, at times, to create ‘a 3’; with left & right-footed Ake & Akanji in reasonably comfortable positions either side of Laporte.

Rodders to sit the deepest of our midfielders, with a quartet of attackers ahead of him in the form of Jack, Bernardo, Kevin & Riyad; all supporting Erling up front.

Stefan is the back-up stopper; Joao, Kyle, Ruben & John provide a wealth of defensive cover from the side. Kalvin, Ilkay & Phil are the midfield / wing options in ‘the 9’, while Julian is the striker option alongside them.

Notable absences:

-       Benjamin Mendy – Suspended by the club until further notice.

-       Sergio Gomez – Not selected.

-       Cole PalmerNot selected.

Very notable - we have no injured players!

Do I agree with Pep’s (predicted) line-up?

With Jack Grealish being arguably our best player last Saturday, certainly an impact player and one who looked sharp as well as being ‘right up for it’, and with Riyad in generally good form; I’d have to say, yes. We certainly have impressive players on the side-line too should any of them be needed.

Result? Slightly ‘tongue in cheek’…shall we just allow Harry Kane to walk through us unopposed straight from the kick off and tap in ‘a freebie’ in order to get it over with? He does seem to have a nasty habit of hurting us - even when he’s not in good form he appears to-somehow find it again when-facing us. 🙄

In my derby pre-match write-up, I described that meeting as a home side with really solid form against an away side with a ‘run - run - slip’ refrain. This time it’s more straight forward – it’s a home team struggling to find form against a very-much-likewise away side. It’s so difficult to call.

Have we ever lost 3 in a row under Pep? I had a vague feeling that it might have happened in his first (2016/17) season and, so, I looked it up. No…not in that season, at least, and I didn’t pursue any further. I don’t think we have ever lost 3 back-to-back games with the Spaniard at the helm and I hope, of course, that doesn’t happen to us / him tonight.

But despite our visitor’s own form issues, we’re gonna have to not-only fight hard to ensure that doesn’t happen – and to-hopefully claim all-3 points too, of course – but we’re gonna have to flippin’-well tighten up that passing; as well as pick up the tempo a little. We need to ‘find ourselves’ again.

It’s gonna be tough and perhaps a little edgy for a time…but I’m going for us to get our wheels in motion once more. It’s a home win for me.

Last season’s, corresponding pre-match prediction and result:

Prediction: Win

Result: Lost

(Pre-match blog posting from that game)

Expected weather conditions during the game: Cold – this one has a bit of a winter feel, with a match temperature of around 2 or 3C. Bit of a north-westerly breeze too which, when added to the already-cold air, could feel like it’s ripping through some of the fans depending on which stand they’re in. There’s no wet stuff though - every cloud! A crisp night to wrap up, sink your teeth into a very expensive but hopefully hot pie and enjoy a really good game of footy.

Solidarity


 

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