Tuesday, 8 December 2020

All change!

And all change back again on Saturday, apparently, as our manager has openly mapped out his plan to rest most, if not all, tomorrow night before bringing back in a fresh, stronger 11 for the weekend Trafford v Manchester derby.

v Marseille

Etihad Stadium
Predicted line-up, subs and outcome:

(Number correct from the starting line-up in the last game: 7/11).

Quite a few factors to weigh up here:

-       Pep’s desire to respect both the competition as well as both Marseille & Olympiacos, who are still fighting it out for a Europa place in their respective, final games.

-       Pep’s desire to put out a team to win all games regardless, which is often his mantra.

-       A need to rest & rotate ahead of more important games…although our Spanish boss has said in the pre-match press conference that he doesn’t rotate the team. Mmmmmm…

-       The participation of the youth players in the EFL Trophy the night before – Guardiola said that he would LIKE to involve some of ‘em in the squad but he’ll have to wait ‘n’ see.

Well, I can’t - I need to put this blog-posting out now and, therefore, there’ll be more room for error.

Fluid 4-1-4-1 / 4-5-1 / 4-3-3:

_____________________Jesus____________________

 

 

__Zinchenko____________________________Torres__

______________Foden_________Silva______________

 

__________________Fernandinho__________________

Ake_____________________________________Cancelo

 

_____________Laporte________Garcia______________

 

 

_____________________Steffen____________________

Subs: Ederson, Carson, Mendy, Walker, Harwood-Bellis, Stones, Rodri, Palmer, Doyle, Bernabe, Mahrez, Aguero.

I suggested it recently and I’m going for Guardiola to do it – Zack to be given some Champions League experience in net.

A return for Nathen, I’m guessing, on the far left of the defence but I think Joao might be asked to go again on the opposite flank. I’m going for Aymeric to be given his first start in 5 games in, what looks increasingly like, an issue with him falling behind John Stone due the amount of effort being displayed on the training ground; along with performances on the pitch. Eric to partner the Frenchman. Mmmmmm…

Fernandinho gets a rare 2020/21 start in front of those and in front of the Brazilian, an attacking quartet of Oleksandr in a more-advance / natural left-wing role; Ferran on the right and with a still-potent-looking Phil & Bernardo in the middle.

I think Gabriel will get another starting run-out ahead of his 10 teammates.

Ederson & Scott are the reserve keepers; Benjamin, Kyle, Taylor & John the defensive replacement options from ‘the 12’. Rodders, Cole, Tommy, Adrian, Riyad & quite-possibly Sergio are the midfield / wing / attacking back-ups sitting on the side.

Notable absences:

-       Ruben Dias – Not selected / rested.

-       Ilkay Gundogan – Not selected / rested.

-       Kevin De Bruyne – Not selected / rested.

-       Raheem Sterling – Not selected / rested.

Do I agree with Pep’s (predicted) line-up?


For this one & circumstance, that’s fine by me.

Result? Draw.

Last season’s, corresponding pre-match prediction and result…

Prediction: N/A

Result: N/A

Expected weather conditions during the game: After rain will have fallen in the area almost non-stop for almost 1-½ days up to a few hours before the start of the game; the match itself is forecasted to be dry. Cold though – we are approaching the middle of December – at around 3 to 4C.

 

Sunday, 6 December 2020

Transfer talk

With the January transfer window on the near horizon, I suppose it’s no surprise that talk has increased in the last week or so; linking players with many clubs, ours included of course. Some of it sounds complete hogwash but, actually, a lot of it does seem to have some ‘sticking value’.

·         First of all, I want to mention some…NON-transfer talk. What I mean by that, is that it appears to have ‘gone all quiet’ on the David Alaba front. In fact – and to add to that – Pep Guardiola, when asked around a week ago, said that he is not planning on any new arrivals in the January window, which makes me wonder why I’m even bothering with this piece!

But, back to David Alaba, the only recent talk of him moving from Bayern Munich is in connection to Chelsea, who have apparently claimed that they are already working on the Austrian international moving to them for free in the summer.

I’m gonna be blunt here: If we don’t ‘go all out’ to get this much-respected, versatile, 28-year old left-wing back who is almost out of contract then I, for one, will be very, very disappointed; especially considering the long-running difficulties we’ve had with this position.

This fella can also play on the left-side of central defence and even defensive midfielder and has experience aplenty at the very top level. Sort it out City

·         One already ‘in the bag’ and set to arrive in January, so it would seem, is just-turned 18-year old, Serbian winger, Filip Stevanovic.

Predominantly a left winger; I think we’ve scooped this lad up for the future and, perhaps after a brief assessment at the Academy; I think we’ll see Filip loaned out for the rest of the season…and quite-possibly next season too.

·         Want another winger? Well, if we are to believe the stories then there are fairly strong rumours that we’re about to ‘open the purse strings’ to get Argentine, 17-year old, Dario Sarmiento.

Despite his young age, this lad has had a few first team appearances for his club, Estudiantes, and is predominantly a right winger.

·         Continuing the theme of ‘job done’; the most recent news is that we’ve agreed to sign defensive midfielder Diego Rosa from Brazilian side Gremio B. That’s right…B. He’s not actually played for his club’s first team and although it’s reported that he may eventually cost us £21M; those payments would be strung out over a very long time and is hugely dependent on a lot of factors.

This sounds like a Bruno Zuculini or a Marlos Moreno-type signing to me in some ways and, apparently, plans are already in place to send him out to one of our sister clubs. We may not ever get to see this-also-just-turned 18-year old play in the sky blue of City

·         Staying with central midfield and the first of two more names comes in the form of Valencia’s, South Korean international, Kang-in Lee. Although just 19, he has seen a lot of first-team action and I have seen one comment on-line saying that he has been a stand-out performer for the Spanish side; adding that he deserves a lot of credit for…‘carrying the side’.

Seems to be an all-action, close-skill / tricky player that, like many, I’d never heard of until the rumours started to circulate.

·         Another rumour that popped up very recently was a 24-year old, Swiss international who plays for German outfit, Borussia Monchengladbach. Yep, I did the YouTube thing on Denis Zakaria, and I really liked what I saw (I have been fooled by video footage before but, equally, I find that the right clips can be quite accurate too; so I take them with a balanced view alongside other information available). Apparently, Manyoo are very interested in him with Chelsea glancing over too.

Just 2 things, though, with this player-link. 1. He has, apparently, only just returned from a serious knee injury and if we’re talking about the possibility of a January transfer signing, then I’d feel inclined to wait ‘n’ see how his season goes and if we are indeed interested; if his knee doesn’t break down and he is still available in the summer, then perhaps go for him then. 2. He’s a defensive midfielder. Now I know Fernandinho is HIGHLY likely to be leaving us in the summer after great service to our club; I know Ilkay Gundogan isn’t really a defensive midfielder but has covered there many times and that we shouldn’t really be-then-running-with just Rodri - a player who some City fans have questioned in recent weeksBUT…don’t we supposedly have promising players already ‘on the books’ who could be Rodders’ back-up / competition? I’m talking about the likes of Ante Palaversa, Claudio Gomes, Ko Itakura & Yangel Herrera, all of which we signed as defensive midfielders in recent years and have been loaned out; presumably for development purposes.

And…aren’t we also-apparently interested in bringing back to the club, Douglas Luiz, from Aston Villa? A player we signed in July 2017 but had to keep out on loan overseas before finally selling to Aston Villa because the authorities in the UK wouldn’t grant the player a work permit to be at Manchester City directly because of a determination that he wouldn’t get enough game time at MCFC? I think what I’m alluding to here is that I don’t feel THIS particular transfer rumour has any legs.

Others, briefly:

-       Lautaro Martinez - who many see as a like-for-like, natural fit, eventual replacement for Sergio Aguero - has been mentioned, once again, in the same sentence as us in recent days.

Apparently, he is far from happy being on a wage that is far less than a lot of his teammates and unless Inter Milan sort that out fairly soon, then we could see the player making waves for a move away.

He’s definitely a Pep-like striker with a ‘low centre of gravity’ an’ all that jazz and, with him being contracted to June 2023, is likely to cost in the region of £100M+.

-       A player many City fans would LOVE to see at Manchester City – and I’m one of them – still gets mentioned with our name never far away and that’s Borussia Dortmund’s, Erling Haaland.

Sadly, I think a lot of City fans are going to be left disappointed because if the 6’ 4” striker is gonna move at all in the next 2 windows; I’m not sure that we’re going to be one of the clubs making a bid. Why? Well, if we ARE and Pep IS-indeed interested in such a tall, robust forward, then I’m going to be left even more bewildered & frustrated as to why we didn’t put a bid in when Dortmund snapped him up from RB Salzburg LESS THAN A YEAR AGO for a mere E20M! Apparently, bids would now have to start at around £68M; a clause in his contract that comes into effect at some point soon, I’m guessing. Manyoo are, of course, also interested in, ‘son of Alfie.

-       And, of course, Lionel Messi.

-       Other than that - and certainly not for the January transfer window but the summer, apparently - we are [still] interested in signing Dayot Upamecano from RB Leipzig; that’s despite having John Stones, Aymeric Laporte, Taylor Harwood-Bellis and having just signed Ruben Dias & Nathan Ake…

Love ‘em or hate ‘em, those are the recent rumours; firm, possible & wild alike.

Just to end on this…

…I think one thing that’s very clear is that if you look at two or three of those names above that look certain / quite certain to join us and add them to some recent / fairly recent signings…

-       Filip Stevanovic (18)

-       Diego Rosa (18)

-       Dario Sarmiento (17)

-       Gavin Bazunu (18 but signed when 16)

-       Yan Couto (18)

-       Alpha Dionkou (19 now but under 18 when signed)

-       Kluiverth Aguilar (deal agree when he was 16 for him to arrive in July 2021)

-       Juan Larios (16)

-       Adrian Bernabe (19 now but signed when he was under 18)

-       Oscar Tarensi (17)

-       Jayden Braaf (18 but signed when he was 16)

-       Ivan Ilik (19 but signed when he was 16)

-       Romeo Lavia (16)

-       Nabil Touaizi (19 but signed when he was 16)

…along with a whole host of young, British talent we’ve acquired; you can see, quite clearly, the immense preparation the club have made to secure good, young talent from across the world before the post-Brexit transfer rules come into play very soon.

Saturday, 5 December 2020

Huge leap possible

A win at home to Fulham on Saturday could see us leap a whoppin’ 7 places to 4th, at least for a time, depending on how the 3 other games ‘pan out’ on the same day and along with goal difference etc.

Should that be the case, I think it would bring a whole new feel to the season for us City fans; a season that, in some ways, feels like it’s taken us time to get some real traction.

But we can’t afford to be complacent this afternoon (3:00pm KO GMT)…

v Fulham

Etihad Stadium

Predicted line-up, subs and outcome:

(Number correct from the starting line-up in the last game: 9/11).

Fluid 4-1-4-1 / 4-5-1 / 4-3-3:

____________________Jesus____________________

 

 

Torres__________________________________Mahrez

___________De Bruyne______Silva_______________

 

____________________Rodri_____________________

Mendy__________________________________Walker

 

____________Laporte_________Stones____________

 

 

____________________Ederson___________________

Subs: Steffen, Cancelo, Ake, Fernandinho, Gundogan, Foden, Sterling.

The easy one first – Ederson starts in net.

And for the moment, at least, a fairly easy one also predicting the wing-backs - certainly for this game - which is highly likely to be Benjamin on the left, who has had a couple of decent games by his standards, and ‘easy pick’ Kyle on the right. Now, here comes my first ‘head scratcher’.

I’ve been wondering what’s happened to Aymeric of late; proper frowning within myself as I had started to get used to our ‘dream-team pairing’ of both him & Ruben in the middle of our defence. But then he disappeared and along came John Stones who DARED to show some rare confidence and, indeed it could be suggested, form.

Was Laporte now out of favour? Had John caught his manager’s eye both in training and on the pitch; leaving the Frenchman simply in the position of losing his place to the England man? Even Eric Garcia was getting in the match-day squad ahead of him; a player who has made it perfectly clear he wants to leave and, if the price had been right for us, would have done so in the last transfer window.

There were certainly no reports of any injury to Aymeric; none that I could find at least.

As games ticked by with still no Laporte in the starting 11 or, even-sometimes, the match-day squad; questions have finally started to be asked of Pep on this very subject and his answer has been that he’s simply managing his squad in terms of the packed fixture list that lies ahead.

As one journalist pointed out recently, Guardiola doesn’t necessarily do, ‘pick your strongest 11’. Instead, the Spaniard tends to pick sides to face whatever opponent his team is about to face; possibly-also, in my opinion, with ‘alf-an-eye on the next game or two depending on who that might be against; in what competition and how far away the next fixture(s) is (are).

A lot might say that’s good management; some would argue that you pick your strongest / most in-form players first regardless and then rest accordingly as soon as possible. Makes for a good debate, thinking about it.

And…thinking about it, if-indeed that’s what Pep is doing – managing his resources – why WOULDN’T he keep one of his prize assets rested / protected ahead of a jam-packed schedule and, instead, utilise Eric Garcia while we still hold his contract? As long as Aymeric doesn’t come back rusty & cold and, therefore, possibly prone to a niggly injury then it does make some sense. So, back to it…

…and having said all of that, I think our manager will ‘throw us a curve ball’ here. I think John keeps his place in order to cement, further, some form but will be joined by very-much-rested, Aymeric.

Rodders is ‘the holder’, I would think, and ahead of him is Ferran on the left, hat-trick hero from his last outing, Riyad, on the right having-also been given a full night off in midweek; and ‘go again’ Bernardo in the middle with Kevin, who also enjoyed a bit of break in Portugal last Tuesday.

Gabriel, who only played 19 minutes of ‘the 90’ plus stoppage time, starts ‘up top’.

Zack is the back-up stopper; Joao and a returning-from-injury Nathan are the two defenders on the side. Fernandinho, Ilkay, Phil, who is one game away from his 50th City appearance, and slightly out of form, Raheem, make up the midfield and more creative & attacking change-options from ‘the 7’.

Notable absences:

-       Eric Garcia – Not selected for this one but is highly likely to start on Wednesday night, I would say.

-       Ruben Dias – Not selected / rested / rotated / protected...whatever.

-       Oleksandr Zinchenko – Not selected and, just like Eric, has a good chance of being in ‘the 11’ in 4 days’ time.

-       Sergio Aguero – Back in training…again, but this game, once again, comes too soon for the injury-plagued, Argentine legend. Might get a spot on the rather large bench in midweek and may even be given a small run out if the situation suits, I would think is likely.

Do I agree with Pep’s (predicted) line-up?

Yes – for this game, yes.

Regular readers will know that I always get a little twitchy when I see Mendy’s name in the starting 11 but I can’t deny that he’s had a couple of decent’ish games recently and, as opposed to Cancelo, it is his natural side.

Continuing the ‘Mendy theme’ for a moment - I was so pleased to hear his manager say recently and for the first time to my knowledge, that the Frenchman needs to learn how to defend better. It’s not like Pep to put such detail on things like that in public but…FINALLY!

If I’m correct, I think our visitors do have some pace in attack and, therefore, that defensive line-up does probably have our paciest defenders in it too, so that would be a good thing if my prediction is correct. If Rodri DOES start, this could be a test for what some Blues have been saying about the Spanish midfielder recently; that he lacks ‘turning speed’ and pace in general. I hope they’re wrong.

Result? I’ve mentioned the word “complacent” quite early on in this piece and it’s for this reason only. They are a team who have struggled early on this season and there must be quite a few negative reasons why they currently sit 4th-bottom on just 7 points out of a possible 30. They’re also a team who have conceded the most goals in the league so far this season, with 19; a fact ex-City player Tosin Adarabioyo won’t thank me for highlighting when he UNDOUTABLY reads this blog. 😊

But they have started to turn that around a little with 2 wins in their last 4 games and their most-recent victory is an impressive-sounding one, away to Leicester City!

In that game, in fact, half of Fulham’s shots were on target and they had almost as many corners as their hosts. I heard a very brief report on the radio just yesterday where it was said that they looked impressive and ‘good for their victory’.

I suppose you can say this about most sides, these days especially, but what I’m trying to say is; switch off against these and they clearly have it within them to hurt you.

However, I just think that we’re more ‘on it’ now than when we were stuttering ‘n’ spluttering at the start of the season and I think we’ll just be too strong for ‘em. In some ways, I think this’ll go similar to the recent Burnley game…and possibly with a similar scoreline too.

It’s a City win for me…IF we remain ‘switched on’ and don't turn off.

Last season’s, corresponding pre-match prediction and result…

Prediction: N/A

Result: N/A

Expected weather conditions during the game: Dry but cold. Overcast skies sees the game start & continue at just 5C, which is likely to feel closer to 1 or 2C in a bit of a north-easterly breeze. I think we might see some players donning gloves this afternoon

Coming very soon:

Some ‘transfer talk’ round-up & opinion.

Tuesday, 1 December 2020

Anyone’s guess

I have to admit at being a little stunned just after 2pm last Saturday when I saw Pep’s starting 11 v Burnley…and just as gobsmacked when I saw the sub’s bench too.

·        Benjamin Mendy starting as left-wing back and, so, no in-form Joao Cancelo starting on the left of defence; albeit Mendy being the more-natural left-sided wing-back.

·        John Stones starting and no sign of Aymeric Laporte on the bench but, instead, want-away Eric Garcia DID make ‘the 7’.

·        At home and against a side that was always going to defend for their very lives; both Rodri & Ilkay Gundogan started and both did-indeed stay quite deep.

·        No Phil Foden in the starting 11 and no sign of Sergio Aguero in the match-day squad once again either.

It actually left me feeling a little concerned that we might struggle to break down our visitors from Lancashirebut how wrong was I?!

v FC Porto

Estádio do Dragão

Predicted line-up, subs and outcome:

(Number correct from the starting line-up in the last game: 6/11).

A very fluid 4-2-3-1 / 4-5-1 / 4-6-0 / 4-3-3:

_____________________________________________

 

____________________Jesus____________________

 

___Sterling____________________________Silva___

 ____________________Foden____________________

_________Fernandinho_______Rodri______________

Zinchenko______________________________Cancelo

 

_____________Laporte_______Dias_______________

 

 

___________________Ederson____________________

Subs: Steffen, Carson, Mendy, Walker, Ake, Garcia, Stones, Gundogan, Doyle, De Bruyne, Torres & Mahrez.

With last Saturday’s surprise [for me at least] line-up & subs along with tonight’s less important game in some ways due to us already-having-secured qualification as well as being in the driving seat to finish the group stage top; this could be virtually impossible to predict!

However, here’s my guess, which has a sense of ‘rest & rotation’ about it…

Ederson continues ‘between the sticks’. I nearly went for our manager to give Zack some vital, Champions League experience but having seen Ed rolled out at the pre-match press conference; I doubt that’ll have been done if the Brazilian wasn’t gonna start. Perhaps in our last group-stage-game at home on Wednesday next week Zack will be given a go…

Rest & rotation, as I say, could see an-almost completely difference back 4 in the form of Oleksandr, Aymeric, Ruben & Joao.

With both players seeing around 45 minutes at the weekend, I think we might see a pairing of Fernandinho & Rodri in a ‘duel holding role’, which would help to ease the Brazilian back in; sharing, as he would be, the defensive midfield duties with the much younger Spaniard.

Ahead of those in a fluid trio / quad, I’m going for Raheem, Phil, Bernardo & Gabriel, who is likely to get more minutes ‘up top’ being, as he is, the only out & out striker to-have-travelled to Portugal.

Zack & Scott sit in ‘the 12’ as his cover for Ederson; Benjamin, Kyle, Nathan, Eric & John make up the rather large number of defensive replacements options from the side. Ilkay, Tommy, Kevin, Ferran & Riyad are the midfield / wing / forward back-ups in my predicted 23-man, match-day squad.

I could we well off here if Guardiola decides to change very little and / or ‘go stronger’ in all areas…

Notable absences:

-       Sergio Aguero Hasn’t travelled due to feeling some…“disturbance” in his troublesome knee. It’s nothing serious though, we are told, but it is enough to-have-stopped him training for now.

Do I agree with Pep’s (predicted) line-up?

Yeah, if our manager does decide to rest & rotate as much as I’ve suggested and, therefore, put out an almost completely different back-4; I think it would be wise to put 2 defensive midfielders in front of them in this type of game.

And I think there would certainly be enough attacking force with Phil, Raheem, Bernardo & Gabriel; supported occasionally by Oleksandr & Joao to threaten our host’s goal too.

Result? In his pre-match press conference, Pep has described FC Porto as a difficult opponent and one who, he expects, will provide a tough, physical challenge.

Talking further about tonight’s hosts, Pep went on to say how they have an incredible team spirit; players who fight for each other and have great physicality. It was suggested to him that it could be a game that sees a fair number of yellow cards and the Spaniard most-certainly didn’t disagree. Hopefully our players won’t come out of it with too many bruises and, by the sounds of it, they’ll need to keep their heads.

We face a team tonight who, disaster aside, have all-but secured qualification to the knock-out stage but who ALSO have a chance of pipping us to ‘top spot’ should they win tonight; not concede and stick a few goals past us, which would set up the last group stage games nicely for a nail-biting finish.

In their domestic league they sit 4th; just 6 points off the top (2 points off joint-2nd) and are the league’s joint-2nd top scorers. Not bad at all. However, their last 5 league games reads a slightly inconsistent, W W L W D and they have conceded more than a goal-a-game, as well as 3 against us the last time we met in October.

Speaking of which, a pre-match press conference question to our manager reminded me that THEIR manager wasn’t too happy with us after the last clash; where he suggested that we were pressing the referee for certain decisions. Pep disagreed…but that could ramp this fixture up another notch.

All things considered? I’m havin’ this one down as a draw, which will leave us in a strong position to finish the group top.

Last season’s, corresponding pre-match prediction and result…

Prediction: N/A

Result: N/A

Expected weather conditions during the game: After a beautiful day of unbroken sunshine where the temperature will reach a very pleasant 18C / 64F, the disappearing sun and still-clear skies sees the KO temperature dip to just 11C / 52F…and that will continue to fall throughout the game. Perfect, I’d say, for the players exerting themselves on the pitch; warm coats and perhaps whatever the Portuguese equivalent of Bovril is for those not running around.